The Use of Epidemiological Models for the Management of Animal Diseases

نویسندگان

  • C. Dubé
  • G. Garner
  • M. Stevenson
  • R. Sanson
  • C. Estrada
  • P. Willeberg
چکیده

The complexity and variability inherent in biological systems should limit the use of models during actual outbreaks as predictive tools. Modelling will be most useful when used pre-outbreak, particularly in the areas of retrospective analysis of previous outbreaks, contingency planning, resource planning, risk assessment and training. Models are just one tool for providing scientific advice, and results should be evaluated in conjunction with data from experimental studies, field experience and scientific wisdom.

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تاریخ انتشار 2008